An Estimation of the Natural Interest Rate in Albania

An Estimation of the Natural Interest Rate in Albania
Author: Eglent Kika, Olti Mitre
Printed on: 07.12.2021
Production date: 07.12.2021
Material category : Not Periodic Publications / Working Papers

We estimate the natural rate of interest in Albania using the Bayesian Maximum Likelihood method and the Kalman Filter. The structure of the model used to identify the behaviour of the natural interest rate in time is based on the seminal work of Laubach and Williams (2003) and includes a joint estimation of the output gap and of potential growth.