Natural rate of unemployment – Reduced form approach

Natural rate of unemployment – Reduced form approach
Author: Enian Cela, Lorena Skufi
Printed on: 07.12.2018
Production date: 07.12.2018
Material category : Not Periodic Publications / Working Papers
In this paper, we attempt to estimate a series of the natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) for Albania in the period 1998-2012 applying a State-Space model featuring Kalman Filter. The approach is based on an Augmented Phillips Curve with NAIRU specified as an unobserved variable. The constraint is activated upon the path of the NAIRU.